Written by: Christos Kontos, Founding Partner of ELIA Investment Advisors Ltd.
Dear valued investor
We are glad to inform you that our fixed income programme in EUR has hit a new all-time high yesterday.
More specifically, the programme is up +5.75% YTD (net) , following up on a return of +11.98% in 2023.
This comes in an environment, where the fixed income space has been particularly hit lately, with most EUR fixed income benchmarks and programmes trading much lower than the levels reached during summer. Since the inception of our programme, the market is still in deep negative territory, while we are enjoying solid double-digit gains.
We have been cautious on the rate development on EUR space, and we have long claimed that the rate trajectory followed by ECB should not be so relevant for the performance of the EUR bond market, due to the rate expectations already priced-in.
As I have been doing all this time, our previous commentaries (January and June 2024) shall add credibility to our views and positioning. This should make clear that the performance result is not a random time point, but rather the result of a profound analysis and effort over time.
Some other key facts and figures for your reference:
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- Since inception the program is +12.81%.
- Achieving its aim of delivering 3% above cash yields in a low-volatility, reliable fashion.
- The program has been running with 12-month rolling returns in the area of 8%+ , for every 12-m rolling period since June 2023 (almost 1.5 years now)
- The draw-down of 2022, being the result of sudden rate spikes and the outbreak of war, was overcome in 16 months, while the market still trades on average 10% lower than the 2022 levels
- Clearly superior performance versus market and peers. Our program outperforms the EUR fixed income benchmark by +25% since its inception
- Low downside exposure and high upside capture
We could not be more optimistic about the performance of the EUR Fixed Income program looking forward, and we are confident in delivering high single digit compounded returns in the years to come
Moreover, the performance of our USD Fixed programme (+8.21%, +7.01% in 2023) is an additional testament to our ability to navigate successfully the challenges of the fixed income market, and deliver absolute returns in a reliable fashion.
Sincerely
Christos Kontos, CFA, FRM