Thematic ETFs promised a simple way to invest in the future.
The data tells a different story.
Average ETF lifespans have collapsed to just 1 year and 9 months.
More than half of thematic funds fail to survive.
Only a small fraction both survive and outperform.
This is not a failure of themes.
It is a failure of how investors access them.
In our latest research, “ETF Lifecycle Breakdown: From Thematic Failure to Selective Opportunity,” we examine:
why thematic ETFs systematically underperform
how valuation, profitability, and timing drive outcomes
and what a more robust approach to thematic investing looks like
The conclusion is clear:
Capturing long-term trends requires selectivity, not broad exposure.
At ELIA, we apply a quantamental approach to identify the strongest companies across themes—rather than investing in the themes themselves.
Full paper below: